Modena crestModenavsAC Monza crestAC Monza

Modena 1-2 AC Monza — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BFri, 26 Dec 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Monza39%

  • Modena 35%
  • Draw 26%
  • AC Monza 39%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AC Monza, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Modena won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Modena's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Modena: WWLDW

AC Monza: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-24AC Monza vs Modena1–0
2025-12-26Modena vs AC Monza1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Modena vs AC Monza?
Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Modena vs AC Monza kick off?
Fri, 26 Dec 2025 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Modena vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legMonza 1-0 Modena24 Apr 2026 →