Modena crestModenavsUC Sampdoria crestUC Sampdoria

Modena 1-2 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 07 Feb 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Modena45%

  • Modena 45%
  • Draw 26%
  • UC Sampdoria 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Modena, rating it at 45.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Modena won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Modena: WWLDW

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-07Modena vs UC Sampdoria1–2
2025-08-25UC Sampdoria vs Modena0–2
2024-02-03Sampdoria vs Modena2–2
2023-11-11Modena vs Sampdoria0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Modena vs UC Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Modena (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Modena vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Modena vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSampdoria 0-2 Modena25 Aug 2025 →