Modena crestModenavsVenezia FC crestVenezia FC

Modena 1-2 Venezia FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 20 Dec 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Venezia FC40%

  • Modena 34%
  • Draw 25%
  • Venezia FC 40%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Modena won 1 of 7, with 2 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Modena: WWLDW

Venezia FC: LLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 7Games
  • 3.86Avg goals
  • 71%Both scored
  • 86%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Venezia FC vs Modena3–2
2026-02-10Venezia FC vs Modena0–2
2025-12-20Modena vs Venezia FC1–2
2024-02-18Venezia F.C. vs Modena2–2
2023-09-30Modena vs Venezia F.C.1–3
2023-05-01Venezia F.C. vs Modena5–0
2022-12-08Modena vs Venezia F.C.2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Modena vs Venezia FC?
Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Modena vs Venezia FC kick off?
Sat, 20 Dec 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Modena vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.86 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legVenezia 0-2 Modena10 Feb 2026 →