AC Monzavs
US Avellino 1912AC Monza 2-1 US Avellino 1912 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 08 Feb 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza65%
- AC Monza 65%
- Draw 20%
- US Avellino 1912 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 65.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and AC Monza won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | AC Monza vs US Avellino 1912 | 3–0 |
| 2026-02-08 | AC Monza vs US Avellino 1912 | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-12 | US Avellino 1912(N) vs AC Monza | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs US Avellino 1912?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs US Avellino 1912 kick off?
- Sun, 08 Feb 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs US Avellino 1912 head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.