AC Monza 3-1 AC Reggiana 1919 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 25 Oct 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza65%
- AC Monza 65%
- Draw 22%
- AC Reggiana 1919 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 64.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
AC Reggiana 1919: WDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | AC Reggiana 1919 vs AC Monza | 0–0 |
| 2025-10-25 | AC Monza vs AC Reggiana 1919 | 3–1 |
| 2021-03-16 | A.C. Monza vs A.C. Reggiana 1919 | 2–0 |
| 2020-12-06 | A.C. Reggiana 1919 vs A.C. Monza | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs AC Reggiana 1919?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs AC Reggiana 1919 kick off?
- Sat, 25 Oct 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs AC Reggiana 1919 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.