AC Monzavs
Spezia CalcioAC Monza 1-0 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 02 Nov 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza58%
- AC Monza 58%
- Draw 24%
- Spezia Calcio 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 58.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Spezia Calcio vs AC Monza | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-02 | AC Monza vs Spezia Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-28 | Spezia vs A.C. Monza | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-09 | A.C. Monza vs Spezia | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 02 Nov 2025 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.