Calcio Padovavs
Empoli FCCalcio Padova 1-0 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 12 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Empoli FC41%
- Calcio Padova 33%
- Draw 25%
- Empoli FC 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Empoli FC, rating it at 41.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Calcio Padova won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Calcio Padova vs Empoli FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Empoli FC vs Calcio Padova | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Calcio Padova vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Calcio Padova vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Sun, 12 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Calcio Padova vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.