Calcio Padovavs
AC MonzaCalcio Padova 1-2 AC Monza — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 01 Feb 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza49%
- Calcio Padova 26%
- Draw 26%
- AC Monza 49%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Calcio Padova won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Calcio Padova's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
AC Monza: WLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | AC Monza vs Calcio Padova | 3–3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Calcio Padova vs AC Monza | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | AC Monza vs Calcio Padova | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Calcio Padova vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Calcio Padova vs AC Monza kick off?
- Sun, 01 Feb 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Calcio Padova vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.