Calcio Padova crestCalcio PadovavsPalermo FC crestPalermo FC

Calcio Padova 0-1 Palermo FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 21 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC47%

Tofiko29% / 25% / 47%
Market21% / 26% / 53%
  • Calcio Padova
  • Draw
  • Palermo FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Calcio Padova won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo FC's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Calcio Padova's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Palermo FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Calcio Padova: LWLDW

Palermo FC: WDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19Palermo FC vs Calcio Padova2–1
2026-03-21Calcio Padova vs Palermo FC0–1
2025-12-27Palermo FC vs Calcio Padova1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Calcio Padova vs Palermo FC?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Calcio Padova vs Palermo FC kick off?
Sat, 21 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Calcio Padova vs Palermo FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legPalermo 2-1 Padova19 Sept 2026 →