Calcio Padova crestCalcio PadovavsSpezia Calcio crestSpezia Calcio

Calcio Padova 2-2 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BTue, 03 Mar 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Calcio Padova39%

  • Calcio Padova 39%
  • Draw 26%
  • Spezia Calcio 34%
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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Calcio Padova, rating it at 39.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Calcio Padova won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Calcio Padova: DWLDW

Spezia Calcio: WWDWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-03Calcio Padova vs Spezia Calcio2–2
2025-10-29Spezia Calcio vs Calcio Padova1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Calcio Padova vs Spezia Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours Calcio Padova (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Calcio Padova vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
Tue, 03 Mar 2026 18:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Calcio Padova vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSpezia 1-1 Padova29 Oct 2025 →