Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsUS Avellino 1912 crestUS Avellino 1912

Palermo FC 2-0 US Avellino 1912 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 05 Apr 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC64%

  • Palermo FC 64%
  • Draw 20%
  • US Avellino 1912 16%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 63.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Palermo FC won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WWWWL

US Avellino 1912: WLLDL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-05Palermo FC vs US Avellino 19122–0
2025-12-20US Avellino 1912 vs Palermo FC2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs US Avellino 1912?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs US Avellino 1912 kick off?
Sun, 05 Apr 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs US Avellino 1912 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAvellino 2-2 Palermo20 Dec 2025 →