Palermo crestPalermovsBenevento crestBenevento

Palermo 1-1 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 22 Apr 2023 14:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo54%

  • Palermo 54%
  • Draw 23%
  • Benevento 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Palermo won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo: WWWWL

Benevento: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-04-22Palermo vs Benevento1–1
2022-12-04Benevento vs Palermo0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Palermo vs Benevento?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo vs Benevento kick off?
Sat, 22 Apr 2023 14:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the Palermo vs Benevento head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBenevento 0-1 Palermo4 Dec 2022 →