Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsCarrarese Calcio 1908 crestCarrarese Calcio 1908

Palermo FC 5-0 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 29 Nov 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC55%

  • Palermo FC 55%
  • Draw 23%
  • Carrarese Calcio 1908 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 55.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Palermo FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WWWWL

Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs Palermo FC0–1
2025-11-29Palermo FC vs Carrarese Calcio 19085–0

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FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
Sat, 29 Nov 2025 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCarrarese 0-1 Palermo8 Mar 2026 →