Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsUS Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929

Palermo FC 3-2 US Catanzaro 1929 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BFri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC50%

  • Palermo FC 50%
  • Draw 23%
  • US Catanzaro 1929 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Palermo FC won 2 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WWWWL

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-20Palermo FC vs US Catanzaro 19292–0
2026-05-17US Catanzaro 1929 vs Palermo FC3–0
2026-05-01Palermo FC vs US Catanzaro 19293–2
2025-10-25US Catanzaro 1929 vs Palermo FC1–0
2024-01-26U.S. Catanzaro 1929 vs Palermo1–1
2023-12-01Palermo vs U.S. Catanzaro 19291–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs US Catanzaro 1929?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs US Catanzaro 1929 kick off?
Fri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs US Catanzaro 1929 head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCatanzaro 1-0 Palermo25 Oct 2025 →