Palermo 3-2 Cremonese — Result, H2H & Form

Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 48.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Palermo won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Cremonese's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.