Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

Palermo FC 3-2 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 07 Feb 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC49%

  • Palermo FC 49%
  • Draw 24%
  • Empoli FC 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 49.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Palermo FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WWWWL

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-07Palermo FC vs Empoli FC3–2
2025-12-07Empoli FC vs Palermo FC1–3

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FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs Empoli FC kick off?
Sat, 07 Feb 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legEmpoli 1-3 Palermo7 Dec 2025 →