Palermo crestPalermovsGenoa crestGenoa

Palermo 1-0 Genoa — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Fri, 09 Sep 2022 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo41%

  • Palermo 41%
  • Draw 25%
  • Genoa 34%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Palermo, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Palermo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Palermo: WWWWL

Genoa: LLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-02-10Genoa vs Palermo2–0
2022-09-09Palermo vs Genoa1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Palermo vs Genoa?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Palermo vs Genoa kick off?
Fri, 09 Sep 2022 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the Palermo vs Genoa head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legGenoa 2-0 Palermo10 Feb 2023 →