Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsUC Sampdoria crestUC Sampdoria

Palermo FC vs UC Sampdoria Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BMon, 07 Sep 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC59%

  • Palermo FC 59%
  • Draw 23%
  • UC Sampdoria 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 58.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Palermo FC won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WWWWL

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-10UC Sampdoria vs Palermo FC3–3
2025-12-12Palermo FC vs UC Sampdoria1–0
2024-04-06Palermo vs Sampdoria2–2
2023-11-04Sampdoria vs Palermo1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs UC Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
Mon, 07 Sep 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSampdoria 3-3 Palermo10 Feb 2026 →