Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsFC Sudtirol crestFC Sudtirol

Palermo FC 3-0 FC Sudtirol — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 21 Feb 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC53%

  • Palermo FC 53%
  • Draw 25%
  • FC Sudtirol 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Palermo FC won 2 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WWWWL

FC Sudtirol: DWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Palermo FC vs FC Sudtirol3–0
2025-09-14FC Sudtirol vs Palermo FC0–2
2024-05-10FC Sudtirol vs Palermo0–1
2023-10-01Palermo vs FC Sudtirol2–1
2023-02-25FC Sudtirol vs Palermo1–1
2022-10-01Palermo vs FC Sudtirol0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs FC Sudtirol?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs FC Sudtirol kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs FC Sudtirol head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSudtirol 0-2 Palermo14 Sept 2025 →