AC Pisa crestAC PisavsAscoli crestAscoli

AC Pisa 1-0 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 23 Dec 2023 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Pisa47%

  • AC Pisa 47%
  • Draw 25%
  • Ascoli 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Pisa, rating it at 46.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and AC Pisa won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

AC Pisa: WLDWL

Ascoli: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-10Ascoli vs AC Pisa2–1
2023-12-23AC Pisa vs Ascoli1–0
2023-05-01Ascoli vs Pisa2–1
2022-12-08Pisa vs Ascoli2–0
2022-03-16Ascoli vs Pisa2–0
2021-11-01Pisa vs Ascoli1–1
2021-03-02Ascoli vs Pisa0–2
2020-12-08Pisa vs Ascoli2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Pisa vs Ascoli?
Tofiko's model favours AC Pisa (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Pisa vs Ascoli kick off?
Sat, 23 Dec 2023 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the AC Pisa vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAscoli 2-1 Pisa10 May 2024 →