AC Pisa crestAC PisavsSSC Bari crestSSC Bari

AC Pisa 1-1 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 16 Sep 2023 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Pisa49%

  • AC Pisa 49%
  • Draw 25%
  • SSC Bari 26%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Pisa, rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and AC Pisa won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

AC Pisa: WLDWL

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-20SSC Bari vs AC Pisa1–1
2023-09-16AC Pisa vs SSC Bari1–1
2023-04-23Pisa vs FC Bari 19081–2
2022-12-04FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Pisa vs SSC Bari?
Tofiko's model favours AC Pisa (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Pisa vs SSC Bari kick off?
Sat, 16 Sep 2023 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the AC Pisa vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBari 1-1 Pisa20 Apr 2024 →