Pisa crestPisavsLecce crestLecce

Pisa 1-0 Lecce — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2021-2022Sat, 11 Dec 2021 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lecce37%

  • Pisa 37%
  • Draw 26%
  • Lecce 37%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Lecce, rating it at 37.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Pisa won 2 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Pisa: WLDWL

Lecce: LWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 1.83Avg goals
  • 17%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-01Pisa SC vs US Lecce1–2
2025-12-12US Lecce vs Pisa SC1–0
2022-04-25Lecce vs Pisa2–0
2021-12-11Pisa vs Lecce1–0
2021-04-05Pisa vs Lecce0–1
2020-12-19Lecce vs Pisa0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Pisa vs Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours Lecce (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Pisa vs Lecce kick off?
Sat, 11 Dec 2021 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2021-2022.
What is the Pisa vs Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legLecce 2-0 Pisa25 Apr 2022 →