AC Pisa crestAC PisavsModena crestModena

AC Pisa 2-2 Modena — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Wed, 28 Feb 2024 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Pisa43%

  • AC Pisa 43%
  • Draw 25%
  • Modena 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Pisa, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and AC Pisa won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

AC Pisa: WLDWL

Modena: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-28AC Pisa vs Modena2–2
2023-09-02Modena vs AC Pisa2–0
2023-03-11Modena vs Pisa1–0
2022-10-23Pisa vs Modena4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Pisa vs Modena?
Tofiko's model favours AC Pisa (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Pisa vs Modena kick off?
Wed, 28 Feb 2024 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the AC Pisa vs Modena head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legModena 2-0 Pisa2 Sept 2023 →