AC Pisa crestAC PisavsSpezia crestSpezia

AC Pisa 2-3 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 27 Jan 2024 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Pisa48%

  • AC Pisa 48%
  • Draw 24%
  • Spezia 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Pisa, rating it at 48.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and AC Pisa won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

AC Pisa: WLDWL

Spezia: WWDWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-01-27AC Pisa vs Spezia2–3
2023-10-08Spezia vs AC Pisa0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Pisa vs Spezia?
Tofiko's model favours AC Pisa (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Pisa vs Spezia kick off?
Sat, 27 Jan 2024 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the AC Pisa vs Spezia head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legSpezia 0-0 Pisa8 Oct 2023 →