UC Sampdoria crestUC SampdoriavsCarrarese Calcio 1908 crestCarrarese Calcio 1908

UC Sampdoria 3-2 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 07 Dec 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UC Sampdoria47%

  • UC Sampdoria 47%
  • Draw 24%
  • Carrarese Calcio 1908 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

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Analysis

Both model families pick UC Sampdoria, rating it at 47.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and UC Sampdoria won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-18Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs UC Sampdoria2–0
2025-12-07UC Sampdoria vs Carrarese Calcio 19083–2

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FAQ

Who will win UC Sampdoria vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
Tofiko's model favours UC Sampdoria (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UC Sampdoria vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
Sun, 07 Dec 2025 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the UC Sampdoria vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCarrarese 2-0 Sampdoria18 Mar 2026 →