UC Sampdoria crestUC SampdoriavsFrosinone Calcio crestFrosinone Calcio

UC Sampdoria 1-1 Frosinone Calcio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 25 Oct 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Frosinone Calcio42%

  • UC Sampdoria 33%
  • Draw 25%
  • Frosinone Calcio 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Frosinone Calcio, rating it at 41.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and UC Sampdoria won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Frosinone Calcio: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08Frosinone Calcio vs UC Sampdoria3–0
2025-10-25UC Sampdoria vs Frosinone Calcio1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win UC Sampdoria vs Frosinone Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours Frosinone Calcio (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UC Sampdoria vs Frosinone Calcio kick off?
Sat, 25 Oct 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the UC Sampdoria vs Frosinone Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legFrosinone 3-0 Sampdoria8 Mar 2026 →