Spezia Calcio 0-2 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 24 Aug 2025 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Spezia Calcio43%
- Spezia Calcio 43%
- Draw 25%
- Carrarese Calcio 1908 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Spezia Calcio, rating it at 42.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs Spezia Calcio | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Spezia Calcio vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
- Sun, 24 Aug 2025 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.