Spezia Calcio crestSpezia CalciovsPalermo FC crestPalermo FC

Spezia Calcio 1-2 Palermo FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 04 Oct 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC42%

Tofiko34% / 24% / 42%
Market40% / 28% / 32%
  • Spezia Calcio
  • Draw
  • Palermo FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 42.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Palermo FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 28 Sep 2026.

Spezia Calcio: WWWWW

Palermo FC: WDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 28 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-18Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio1–0
2025-10-04Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC1–2
2024-05-01Spezia vs Palermo1–0
2023-10-23Palermo vs Spezia2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC kick off?
Sat, 04 Oct 2025 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legPalermo 1-0 Spezia18 Jan 2026 →