Spezia Calciovs
Palermo FCSpezia Calcio 1-2 Palermo FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 04 Oct 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Palermo FC42%
- Spezia Calcio 34%
- Draw 24%
- Palermo FC 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Palermo FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-01 | Spezia vs Palermo | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-23 | Palermo vs Spezia | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC kick off?
- Sat, 04 Oct 2025 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.