Spezia Calcio crestSpezia CalciovsAC Reggiana 1919 crestAC Reggiana 1919

Spezia Calcio 0-1 AC Reggiana 1919 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 28 Feb 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Spezia Calcio52%

  • Spezia Calcio 52%
  • Draw 25%
  • AC Reggiana 1919 23%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Spezia Calcio, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Spezia Calcio: WWDWD

AC Reggiana 1919: WDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Spezia Calcio vs AC Reggiana 19190–1
2025-09-30AC Reggiana 1919 vs Spezia Calcio1–1
2024-03-16A.C. Reggiana 1919 vs Spezia0–0
2023-09-23Spezia vs A.C. Reggiana 19191–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Spezia Calcio vs AC Reggiana 1919?
Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Spezia Calcio vs AC Reggiana 1919 kick off?
Sat, 28 Feb 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Spezia Calcio vs AC Reggiana 1919 head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legReggiana 1-1 Spezia30 Sept 2025 →