Spezia Calciovs
UC SampdoriaSpezia Calcio 1-0 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 30 Nov 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Spezia Calcio41%
- Spezia Calcio 41%
- Draw 25%
- UC Sampdoria 34%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Spezia Calcio, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Spezia Calcio won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
UC Sampdoria: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | UC Sampdoria vs Spezia Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Spezia Calcio vs UC Sampdoria | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-20 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 0–0 |
| 2023-11-24 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2023-04-22 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-22 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-12 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 2–2 |
| 2021-01-11 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs UC Sampdoria?
- Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
- Sun, 30 Nov 2025 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.