Spezia Calcio crestSpezia CalciovsVirtus Entella crestVirtus Entella

Spezia Calcio 1-1 Virtus Entella — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 07 Feb 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Spezia Calcio56%

  • Spezia Calcio 56%
  • Draw 23%
  • Virtus Entella 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Spezia Calcio, rating it at 56.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Spezia Calcio won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Spezia Calcio: WWDWD

Virtus Entella: LLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-07Spezia Calcio vs Virtus Entella1–1
2025-12-08Virtus Entella vs Spezia Calcio0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Virtus Entella?
Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Spezia Calcio vs Virtus Entella kick off?
Sat, 07 Feb 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Spezia Calcio vs Virtus Entella head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legVirtus Entella 0-1 Spezia8 Dec 2025 →