FC Sudtirol crestFC SudtirolvsUS Avellino 1912 crestUS Avellino 1912

FC Sudtirol 0-1 US Avellino 1912 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 29 Nov 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Sudtirol53%

  • FC Sudtirol 53%
  • Draw 24%
  • US Avellino 1912 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Sudtirol, rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Sudtirol won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

FC Sudtirol: DWDWW

US Avellino 1912: WLLDL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-18US Avellino 1912 vs FC Sudtirol3–2
2025-11-29FC Sudtirol vs US Avellino 19120–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Sudtirol vs US Avellino 1912?
Tofiko's model favours FC Sudtirol (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Sudtirol vs US Avellino 1912 kick off?
Sat, 29 Nov 2025 14:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the FC Sudtirol vs US Avellino 1912 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAvellino 3-2 Sudtirol18 Mar 2026 →