Venezia F.C. crestVenezia F.C.vsAscoli crestAscoli

Venezia F.C. 3-1 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 02 Dec 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Venezia F.C.57%

  • Venezia F.C. 57%
  • Draw 24%
  • Ascoli 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Venezia F.C., rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Venezia F.C. won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Venezia F.C.: LLLWD

Ascoli: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-07Ascoli vs Venezia F.C.0–0
2023-12-02Venezia F.C. vs Ascoli3–1
2023-03-18Ascoli vs Venezia F.C.0–1
2022-10-29Venezia F.C. vs Ascoli0–2
2021-03-13Ascoli vs Venezia F.C.1–1
2020-11-28Venezia F.C. vs Ascoli2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Venezia F.C. vs Ascoli?
Tofiko's model favours Venezia F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Venezia F.C. vs Ascoli kick off?
Sat, 02 Dec 2023 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the Venezia F.C. vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAscoli 0-0 Venezia7 Apr 2024 →