Venezia FC crestVenezia FCvsUC Sampdoria crestUC Sampdoria

Venezia FC 3-1 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 08 Nov 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Venezia FC55%

  • Venezia FC 55%
  • Draw 24%
  • UC Sampdoria 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 55.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Venezia FC won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Venezia FC: LLLWD

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14UC Sampdoria vs Venezia FC0–0
2025-11-08Venezia FC vs UC Sampdoria3–1
2024-01-14Venezia F.C. vs Sampdoria5–3
2023-08-30Sampdoria vs Venezia F.C.1–2
2022-03-20Venezia F.C. vs Sampdoria0–2
2021-12-19Sampdoria vs Venezia F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Venezia FC vs UC Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Venezia FC vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
Sat, 08 Nov 2025 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Venezia FC vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

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First legSampdoria 0-0 Venezia14 Mar 2026 →