Virtus Entellavs
US Avellino 1912Virtus Entella 1-2 US Avellino 1912 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 15 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Virtus Entella39%
- Virtus Entella 39%
- Draw 25%
- US Avellino 1912 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Virtus Entella, rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Virtus Entella won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Avellino 1912's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Virtus Entella's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Virtus Entella: LLDLW
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Virtus Entella vs US Avellino 1912 | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | US Avellino 1912 vs Virtus Entella | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Virtus Entella vs US Avellino 1912?
- Tofiko's model favours Virtus Entella (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Virtus Entella vs US Avellino 1912 kick off?
- Sun, 15 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Virtus Entella vs US Avellino 1912 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.