Virtus Entellavs
SSC BariVirtus Entella 2-2 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BTue, 30 Sep 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Bari39%
- Virtus Entella 35%
- Draw 26%
- SSC Bari 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks SSC Bari, rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Virtus Entella won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Virtus Entella: LLDLW
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | SSC Bari vs Virtus Entella | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Virtus Entella vs SSC Bari | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Virtus Entella vs SSC Bari?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Bari (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Virtus Entella vs SSC Bari kick off?
- Tue, 30 Sep 2025 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Virtus Entella vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.