Virtus Entella crestVirtus EntellavsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 01 Nov 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC48%

  • Virtus Entella 28%
  • Draw 24%
  • Empoli FC 48%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Empoli FC, rating it at 48.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Virtus Entella won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Virtus Entella: LLDLW

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.40Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Empoli FC vs Virtus Entella1–0
2026-04-19Empoli FC vs Virtus Entella1–1
2025-11-01Virtus Entella vs Empoli FC1–0
2021-03-20Empoli vs Virtus Entella1–0
2020-12-12Virtus Entella vs Empoli2–5

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Virtus Entella vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (48% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Virtus Entella vs Empoli FC kick off?
Sat, 01 Nov 2025 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Virtus Entella vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legEmpoli 1-1 Virtus Entella19 Apr 2026 →