Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BTue, 03 Mar 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Modena45%
- Virtus Entella 29%
- Draw 25%
- Modena 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Modena, rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Virtus Entella won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Virtus Entella: LLDLW
Modena: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Virtus Entella vs Modena | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Modena vs Virtus Entella | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Virtus Entella vs Modena?
- Tofiko's model favours Modena (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Virtus Entella vs Modena kick off?
- Tue, 03 Mar 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Virtus Entella vs Modena head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.