Virtus Entellavs
AC MonzaVirtus Entella 1-0 AC Monza — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 10 Jan 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza55%
- Virtus Entella 21%
- Draw 23%
- AC Monza 55%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 55.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Virtus Entella won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Virtus Entella's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Virtus Entella: LLDLW
AC Monza: WLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | AC Monza vs Virtus Entella | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Virtus Entella vs AC Monza | 1–0 |
| 2021-04-02 | Virtus Entella vs A.C. Monza | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-15 | A.C. Monza vs Virtus Entella | 5–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Virtus Entella vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Virtus Entella vs AC Monza kick off?
- Sat, 10 Jan 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Virtus Entella vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.