Virtus Entella crestVirtus EntellavsVenezia FC crestVenezia FC

Virtus Entella 1-1 Venezia FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 11 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Venezia FC57%

  • Virtus Entella 20%
  • Draw 23%
  • Venezia FC 57%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Virtus Entella won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Virtus Entella: LLDLW

Venezia FC: LLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Virtus Entella vs Venezia FC1–1
2025-12-27Venezia FC vs Virtus Entella1–0
2021-02-20Venezia F.C. vs Virtus Entella3–2
2020-11-14Virtus Entella vs Venezia F.C.0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Virtus Entella vs Venezia FC?
Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Virtus Entella vs Venezia FC kick off?
Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Virtus Entella vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legVenezia 1-0 Virtus Entella27 Dec 2025 →