Burnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.vsWolverhampton Wanderers F.C. crestWolverhampton Wanderers F.C.

Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipFri, 16 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.39%

Tofiko39% / 23% / 39%
Market30% / 26% / 43%
  • Burnley F.C.
  • Draw
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Burnley F.C. or draw61%
  • Draw or Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.61%
  • Burnley F.C. or Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.560%
  • Under 2.540%

Both teams to score

  • Burnley F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
  • Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 59% · No 41%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 38.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Burnley F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

Burnley F.C.: WDLDL

Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.: LWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.1–1
2025-10-26Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. vs Burnley F.C.2–3
2024-04-02Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers1–1
2023-12-05Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley1–0
2022-04-24Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers1–0
2021-12-01Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley0–0
2021-04-25Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley0–4
2020-12-21Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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