Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipFri, 16 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.39%
- Burnley F.C.
- Draw
- Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Burnley F.C. or draw61%
- Draw or Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.61%
- Burnley F.C. or Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Under 2.540%
Both teams to score
- Burnley F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 59% · No 41%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 38.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Burnley F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Burnley F.C.: WDLDL
Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.: LWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2024-04-02 | Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-05 | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-24 | Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-01 | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley | 0–0 |
| 2021-04-25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley | 0–4 |
| 2020-12-21 | Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
- Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.