Southampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.vsBolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.

Southampton F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.67%

Tofiko67% / 18% / 15%
Market69% / 18% / 13%
  • Southampton F.C.
  • Draw
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Southampton F.C. or draw85%
  • Draw or Bolton Wanderers F.C.33%
  • Southampton F.C. or Bolton Wanderers F.C.82%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.564%
  • Under 2.536%

Both teams to score

  • Southampton F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 67.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

Southampton F.C.: WLWWD

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WLWWL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Southampton F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBolton vs Southampton16 Jan 2027 →