Southampton F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.67%
Tofiko67% / 18% / 15%
Market69% / 18% / 13%
- Southampton F.C.
- Draw
- Bolton Wanderers F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Southampton F.C. or draw85%
- Draw or Bolton Wanderers F.C.33%
- Southampton F.C. or Bolton Wanderers F.C.82%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Under 2.536%
Both teams to score
- Southampton F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Bolton Wanderers F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 67.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WLWWL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.