Derby County F.C.vs
Norwich CityDerby County F.C. vs Norwich City Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 03 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.42%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Norwich City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Derby County F.C. or draw69%
- Draw or Norwich City58%
- Derby County F.C. or Norwich City73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Norwich City, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 42.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Derby County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Norwich City: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Norwich City vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Derby County F.C. vs Norwich City | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Norwich City?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Norwich City kick off?
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.