Aalesunds FK crestAalesunds FKvsRosenborg crestRosenborg

Aalesunds FK vs Rosenborg Prediction, H2H & Form

Eliteserien 2026Sun, 22 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rosenborg49%

Tofiko30% / 22% / 49%
  • Aalesunds FK
  • Draw
  • Rosenborg

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Aalesunds FK or draw51%
  • Draw or Rosenborg70%
  • Aalesunds FK or Rosenborg78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • Aalesunds FK, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Rosenborg, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (176 games)60%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rosenborg, rating it at 48.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Aalesunds FK won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Rosenborg's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Aalesunds FK: LWDLW

Rosenborg: DDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16Rosenborg vs Aalesunds FK2–3

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FAQ

Who will win Aalesunds FK vs Rosenborg?
Tofiko's model favours Rosenborg (49% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Aalesunds FK vs Rosenborg kick off?
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
What is the Aalesunds FK vs Rosenborg head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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