Aalesunds FKvs
Sarpsborg 08 FFAalesunds FK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction, H2H & Form
Eliteserien 2026Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sarpsborg 08 FF50%
- Aalesunds FK 30%
- Draw 21%
- Sarpsborg 08 FF 50%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sarpsborg 08 FF, rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Aalesunds FK's last 5 produced 36 goals — 7.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Sarpsborg 08 FF's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 7.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aalesunds FK: LWDDL
Sarpsborg 08 FF: DWLLD
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aalesunds FK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- Tofiko's model favours Sarpsborg 08 FF (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aalesunds FK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.