Fredrikstadvs
Tromso ILFredrikstad 1-1 Tromso IL — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 11 Oct 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fredrikstad40%
Tofiko40% / 25% / 35%
Market32% / 27% / 41%
- Fredrikstad
- Draw
- Tromso IL
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Fredrikstad, rating it at 40.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Fredrikstad won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Tromso IL's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Fredrikstad's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Tromso IL's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026.
Fredrikstad: DDWDL
Tromso IL: DWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Fredrikstad vs Tromso IL | 1–1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Tromso IL vs Fredrikstad | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Fredrikstad vs Tromso IL?
- Tofiko's model favours Fredrikstad (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fredrikstad vs Tromso IL kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Fredrikstad vs Tromso IL head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.