Molde FKvs
FredrikstadMolde FK vs Fredrikstad Prediction, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 25 Oct 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Molde FK56%
- Molde FK 56%
- Draw 22%
- Fredrikstad 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Molde FK, rating it at 56.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Molde FK's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Fredrikstad's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Molde FK's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 54 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Molde FK: WWWLD
Fredrikstad: WWWWW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Molde FK vs Fredrikstad?
- Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Molde FK vs Fredrikstad kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien.