Cerezo Osakavs
FC Machida ZelviaCerezo Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cerezo Osaka41%
- Cerezo Osaka 41%
- Draw 23%
- FC Machida Zelvia 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Cerezo Osaka, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cerezo Osaka won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Cerezo Osaka: DWWDW
FC Machida Zelvia: WDDWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 | FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka | 3–0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Cerezo Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia?
- Tofiko's model favours Cerezo Osaka (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Cerezo Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 11:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Cerezo Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.