Cerezo Osakavs
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo Prediction, H2H & Form
J1 LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cerezo Osaka52%
- Cerezo Osaka 52%
- Draw 22%
- FC Tokyo 26%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Cerezo Osaka, rating it at 51.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Cerezo Osaka won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Tokyo's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Cerezo Osaka's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Tokyo's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Cerezo Osaka: LWWLW
FC Tokyo: WWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo | 2–2 |
| 2025-06-14 | FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-20 | Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?
- Tofiko's model favours Cerezo Osaka (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.