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FC Tokyo crestFC TokyovsKashiwa Reysol crestKashiwa Reysol

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction, H2H & Stats

J1 LeagueWed, 21 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kashiwa Reysol43%

FC Tokyo 33%
Draw 24%
Kashiwa Reysol 43%
  • FC Tokyo 33%
  • Draw 24%
  • Kashiwa Reysol 43%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Kashiwa Reysol, rating it at 42.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Tokyo won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Tokyo: LWLDL

Kashiwa Reysol: DLWWW

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-29Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo1–3
2025-07-05Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo1–0
2025-04-11FC Tokyo(N) vs Kashiwa Reysol1–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Tofiko's model favours Kashiwa Reysol (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol kick off?
Wed, 21 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

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