FC Tokyo crestFC TokyovsKashiwa Reysol crestKashiwa Reysol

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction, H2H & Form

J1 LeagueWed, 21 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kashiwa Reysol43%

Tofiko33% / 24% / 43%
  • FC Tokyo
  • Draw
  • Kashiwa Reysol

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Tokyo or draw57%
  • Draw or Kashiwa Reysol67%
  • FC Tokyo or Kashiwa Reysol76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.544%
  • Under 2.556%

Both teams to score

  • FC Tokyo, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Kashiwa Reysol, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (248 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Kashiwa Reysol, rating it at 42.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Tokyo won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Kashiwa Reysol's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Tokyo's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Kashiwa Reysol's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 7 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Tokyo: WWWWW

Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 7 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-29Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo1–3
2025-07-05Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo1–0
2025-04-11FC Tokyo(N) vs Kashiwa Reysol1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Tofiko's model favours Kashiwa Reysol (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol kick off?
Wed, 21 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureKashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo29 Apr 2027 →